Explanation
A coin is biased so that the head is $$3$$ times as likely to occur as tail. If the coin is tossed twice, find the probability distribution of number of tails.
$${\textbf{Step - 1: Finding mean}}$$
$${\text{It is given that there are total 200 bulbs,}}$$
$$ \Rightarrow {\text{ n = 200}}$$
$${\text{Also, 20% of given bulbs are effective,}}$$
$$ \Rightarrow {\text{ Probability of defective bulbs, p = }}\dfrac{{{\text{20}}}}{{{\text{100}}}}{\text{ = }}\dfrac{{\text{1}}}{{\text{5}}}$$
$${\text{We know that, mean = np}}$$
$$\therefore {\text{ Mean, m = 200 }} \times {\text{ }}\dfrac{{\text{1}}}{{\text{5}}}$$
$$ \Rightarrow {\text{ m = 40}}$$
$${\textbf{Step - 2: Finding probability that atmost 5 bulbs will be effective}}$$
$${\text{According to Poisson theorem, P(X = x) = }}\dfrac{{{{\text{e}}^{{\text{ - m}}}}{{\text{m}}^{\text{x}}}}}{{{\text{x!}}}}{\text{, where m is the mean}}$$
$${\text{We have to find P(X}} \leqslant {\text{5),}}$$
$$\therefore {\text{ P(X}} \leqslant {\text{5) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + p(X = 3) + P(X = 4) + p(X = 5)}}$$
$$ \Rightarrow {\text{ P(X}} \leqslant {\text{5) = }}\sum\limits_{{\text{x = 0}}}^{\text{5}} {\dfrac{{{{\text{e}}^{{\text{ - 40}}}}{{{\text{(40)}}}^{\text{x}}}}}{{{\text{x!}}}}} $$
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